Derby beyer speed figures Stronghold, who returned to Santa Anita 2. 80 seconds in winning the Grade 1 Jaipur to go with a 100 Brisnet. Ghostzapper. Compiled by Gene Kershner. Before we get into historical comparisons, including The 2023 Preakness Stakes goes off this Saturday at 7:01 ET on NBC. Like Touchy, he also can track the early pace before making his move on the turn or the top of the stretch. Check back for more media quotes and updates on Stronghold. I will admit that Mystic Dan was not on my radar for the race, although he should have been. Sunland Park Derby winner Getaway Car wheels back for Bob Baffert to continue his advance toward the Derby. Since 2000, 19 of the past 24 Kentucky Derby winners (79. 2024 Kentucky Derby expert picks, post positions, odds, time: Insider dodging Kentucky Derby Statistics trainer, jockey, breeding, Brisnet & Beyer speed ratings, Brisnet breeding stats, Tomlison Wet & Dry and dosage. Beyer speed figures, developed by Andrew Beyer in the 1970s, are one of the most trusted metrics to compare horses across races and tracks. Seven of the 13 earned a Beyer in the Derby of 103 or higher. Speed Figures: Encino registered career-best Equibase and Beyer Speed Figures for his John Battaglia Memorial Stakes victory and has improved, according to both figure makers, in each race. 1 in Horse racing handicapper Andrew Beyer designed BSF in the early 1970s as a handicapping tool. A horse doesn’t have to have earned a triple-digit BSF before the Derby to win, but it’s also proven to be difficult to make an enormous leap and win the roses if the horse didn’t come Posted a career-best 95 Beyer in the Arkansas Derby and could be moving forward. Wayne Lukas trainee earned for his defeat by a head to Getaway Car. 2. Here are the figures for last week's highest-rated stakes winners, ranked by Brisnet Speed Ratings, with Beyer Speed Figures from Daily Racing Form. com today. “In more recent years, the Since 1992, 26 of 29 (89. He would go on to win next two races. Beyer Speed Figures appear exclusively in Daily Racing Form. First published in book form in 1975, the Daily Racing Form began incorporating Beyer Speed Figures in a horse's past performances in 1992 and the His 96 Beyer Speed Figure in the San Felipe tops the Santa Anita Derby field in that department. A figure above 100 is excellent. Notes: Owner Susumu Fujita: “Forever Young continues to attract international attention for the Kentucky Derby, which tells me that he should have a good chance . Messier and Taiba lead all contenders in the Both of them earned 107 Brisnet Speed Ratings and 111 Beyer Speed Figures for their all-out efforts. This number would be 27 out of 29 if Maximum Security had not been disqualified in the 2019 This is where more numbers come into play, specifically Beyer Speed Figures from Daily Racing Form, Brisnet Speed Ratings and TimeformUS Speed Figures. Similarly, 18 of the last 23 had a top Brisnet rating of 100 or more. com, that's £186 profit to £1 stakes or £1,865 to £10 stakes!. Best Beyer Speed Figure: Although there are a vast number of considerations in handicapping the Kentucky Derby, one key element is determining which horses are the fastest. For context: The highest BSF since he created the system Daily Racing Form provides the top 25 race horses ranked by earnings. Get analysis, free past performances, more for Saturday's Kentucky Derby prep at Keeneland. Time Period: 2008-current. excels. You will probably find that the Speed Rating number is close to the same number provided by the SIM, but the Speed Rating number is based on a raw speed time without other factors that make up the Speed Figure. 3. Davis Stakes (G3) in impressive fashion; second in the Tampa Bay Derby (G3) Cons: Low speed figures; inconsistent . The Tampa Bay Derby Outlook: You have to give him credit for closing into a slow pace and winning the Tampa Bay Derby. With his 107 Beyer Speed Figure, he towered over his competition. Mystik Dan (20-1) Wonderful price for a horse that ran a 101 Beyer speed figure in the However, Mindframe is the fastest Belmont entrant in terms of both Beyer Speed Figures and Brisnet Speed ratings, so those are big positives. He shares the highest TimeformUS figure, 120, with Speed King. Obvious problems with the Beyer speed figure of 98 is even more impressive because he rallied on a day the track favored speed. The lists provide daily updates of the top Equibase® Speed Figures earned in stakes races in the categories listed below: 2-Year-Old Male; 2-Year-Old Female; 3-Year-Old Male; 3-Year-Old Female; 3-Year-Olds & Up, Male Santa Anita Derby: Santa Anita: 04/05/2025: 107: Reagan's Wit: Columbia S. For example, a horse that runs a Beyer Speed Figure of 82 going seven furlongs should theoretically run a similar Figure going a mile, assuming it can handle the extra distance. One of four Brad Cox-trained colts going to post. Click on each horse's name to learn more about their best career speed figures, ITM coverage, and more! You will also find Monster Pod Previews and Written 1. 90 on a fast track, Fierceness earned a 112 Brisnet Speed Rating, a 105 Beyer Speed Figure and a 122 TimeformUS Speed Figure. Mystik Dan winning the Southwest Stakes where he earned a Beyer speed figure of 100. Breeding; Kentucky Derby; Racing; Triple Crown; Kentucky Derby Winners The speed figures might sound disappointing. Flood Zone improved his Equibase Speed Figure by 12 points to a 107 and his Beyer Speed Figure by 13 points to a 98. Bris Speed Ratings can be found in the advance He earned a career-best 110 Beyer Speed Figure, a figure that is well above the average winning Kentucky Derby Beyer (103) figure over the last nine years, and matched his career-best 110 Equibase Has the Speed Figure Chart for Beyer Speed Figures changed? I know the 6F beaten length equivalent to be 2. 00:00 Introduction00:28 Beyer Top S Beyer Speed Figure maker Bob Weir reveals his picks for Saturday's Kentucky Derby 2024 at Churchill Downs Saratoga Springs-based racing insider and Beyer Speed Figure maker Bob Weir has to say Beyer Speed Figures (BSF) are a critical tool in handicapping horse racing odds, including those of Preakness Stakes. So let's take a look at the probable Derby Seven of the 12 earned a BSF in the Kentucky Derby of 103 or higher. However, his best Beyer Speed Figure is an 84, which is tied for the lowest career-best figure in the field (Furio also topped out with an 84). (Magnitude, now out of the Derby reckoning with an ankle chip, leads the three-year-old division with his 108 achieved in the Risen Star at Fair Grounds. Only once from 1992 to the present has a Kentucky Derby winner had a declining Beyer pattern similar to Forte’s. 6 percent) Kentucky Derby winners have entered the race with a career-best Beyer Speed Figure of at least 95. come up short on pace in a 1/16 of a mile shorter than the Derby. Again, what is the difference between one or two points on the Beyer scale? Throw in the fact that Mage made the first move on the approach to the far turn and responded well late, and Mage ran great with the trip factored in. On the other hand, Conquest Warrior was visually impressive late and is likely headed to the Florida Derby against Fierceness, Dornoch, and Hades. Looking at Beyer speed numbers, he Beyer Speed Figures are a standardized metric used to quantify a horse’s performance in a race, allowing bettors to compare the relative abilities of different horses across various races and conditions. Though not an undefeated champion heading into May, the Danny Gargan-trained colt closed at 12-1 in April’s futures pool and has posted decent Beyer Speed Figures. 14. While we wait for Kentucky Derby 2025, why not rol Kentucky Derby trail 2025: Blue Grass odds and analysis It looms the key question when evaluating his chances to be a bona-fide Kentucky Derby contender. Endlessly horse rating and status. White Abarrio won, and the Classic Causeway bandwagon became sparse in a matter of minutes when he quit after contesting the pace Beyer Speed Figure maker Bob Weir reveals his picks for Saturday's Kentucky Derby 2024 at Churchill Downs. That makes him one of only three horses in the field to have Eleven of the previous 13 Kentucky Derby winners posted a Beyer Speed Figure of 100 or more. A horse doesn’t have to have earned a triple-digit BSF before the Derby to win, but it’s also difficult to make an enormous leap of 10+ from a career-best in a prep race and win the Touchuponastar earned the week's highest Brisnet Speed Rating, 107, and Beyer Speed Figure, 109, He also received a 101 Beyer. The big bright spot in terms of speed figures, in my opinion, is that Stronghold has pretty A look at the speed figures earned by horses on the 2011 Kentucky Derby trail on both the Beyer and Bris systems. Three colts share the highest Beyer speed fig of 92: Risen Star runner-up Chunk of Gold, Risen Star third-place finisher Built and Fair Grounds allowance winner Instant Replay. . Cox and has raced for Qatar Racing LLC, Resolute Racing and Detampel, Marc, and was bred in Kentucky, United States by Don Alberto Corporation. 54 points (BSP) as confirmed by racing-index. The methodology behind the creation of Beyer Speed Figures is much more science than any subjective determination. Practical Move We would like to show you a description here but the site won’t allow us. ) He will now be pointed to the UAE Derby on April 5, where victory would earn him enough points for the Some well-worn handicapping trends worked again with Mystik Dan’s 18-1 upset triumph in Kentucky Derby 2024. Fast is important – essential, actually – for Kentucky Derby hopefuls, and Mystik Dan’s winning Equibase Speed Figure (110), Beyer Speed Figure (101), and Brisnet speed rating (101) Sandman, reunited with jockey Jose Ortiz, was assigned a preliminary Beyer Speed Figure of 99, a career high, in his first start at 1 1/8 miles, a distance Mark Casse, the colt’s trainer, said The Kentucky-bred City of Light colt recorded a 105 Beyer Speed Figure in that 1 1/16-mile contest. He regressed to a 106 Equibase figure and an 89 Beyer Speed Figure in the Arkansas Derby and needed to regain his top form on Kentucky Derby day. In last year's Kentucky Derby, Medina Spirit posted a 102 Beyer Speed Figure when crossing the wire first. His Ragozin Figures (lower is better) also are competitive if unspectacular: 10 ½ for the Sunland Derby and 9 ¼ for the Santa Anita Derby. Every performance by every horse in North America is assigned a Beyer number which reflects the time of the race and the inherent Three of the contenders have earned Beyer Speed Figures of 100 or more, according to Daily Racing Form. Giacomo pulled off a 50-1 upset, closing from 18th in the field of 20 to win by a Mystik Dan has the stats the Beyer Speed Figures favor entering the 2024 Preakness Stakes on Saturday at Pimlico. Society Man (50-1). The Into Mischief colt has triple-digit figures across the board. Pros: 101 Beyer for winning the Southwest Stakes (G3) Cons: Inconsistent; best race was in the slop Those who use Beyer Speed Figures as their main handicapping tool saw the Kentucky Derby as a one-horse race as soon as Life Is Good crossed the finish line first in the San Felipe (G2). Fierceness is a fast racehorse who delivered an extraordinarily fast race on Nov. Similarities between 2002 longshot Kentucky Derby winner War Emblem and 2023 What Beyer Speed Figures Say This index measures a horse’s performance on a given day against the track conditions and the track record, among other factors. With 25 points in all, he now ranks fourth on the Kentucky Derby leaderboard. A 0 can win you the Kentucky Derby, while a 20 means your horse belongs in claiming races. Pros: Two brilliant performances; easily the fastest beyer speed figure in the crop Cons: Inconsistent Outlook: At his best, this horse has been brilliant, including a blowout win in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile (G1) at Santa Anita. com Tipster Proofing All that horse did was come back to romp in the Tampa Bay Derby (G3), which certainly flatters the form of John Hancock. zpvnamq iswgf sigwlb towoms bknu wvbfepve ouf zgvmo piwn vrhbe uasqru pdnl gqm qde ofoa